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Who is Leading in the Presidential Polls?

Here are the latest Gallop poll results on the race between Obama and Romney.

 

If history is to repeat itself, then the voters that put President Barack Obama in the White House are likely to be the ones who will keep him there for another four years.

According to the latest Gallop poll, the "2012 electorate looks like 2008 ... the key elements of President Obama's electoral coalition, such as racial minorities, women, young adults, and postgraduates will likely turn out at rates similar to those in 2008."

The number of non-white voters has risen due to the growth of that segment of the population over the past decade. Gallop reports that "the percentage of non-white voters, now 20 percent, has risen significantly since 2004 (15 percent).

The report says the outcome of the election may "hinge more on how groups vote rather than to what extent they will vote." There has been a shift with most groups currently less likely to support Obama but the president's seven-point margin in the 2008 election gives him breathing room to still win the election.

The Gallop poll, dated Oct. 26, 2012, shows President Obama has lost more support with Gov. Mitt Romney leading 50 percent to Obama's 47 percent.

That statistic came after Gallop posed the question in a telephone survey of approximately 2,700 likely voters. Despite Romney's slight lead, Gallop maintains its data points to Obama.

Do you think it will come down to events outside of the campaigns that will determine the outcome? Share your thoughts in our comments section below.

Related Topics: Presidential Poll and elections 2012

Maria Campbell

10:29 pm on Friday, October 26, 2012

I just want obama back in office he only had four years to try and undo what bush put on america. I am for obama

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Jesse

1:41 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Yeah and do you know what he did with those four years? He added more to our nations deficit then all of his predecessors combined. He is strategically weakening America. His anti-colonial beliefs and socialistic approach is going to leave our country in the most vulnerable position it's been in since Monroe was in office. But yeah let's keep blaming Bush for all of this! Why would we want to blame someone who promised so much hope and then didn't do a damn thing that he said he would.

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Jessica Simpson

3:43 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

Jesse...you have sooooo much to say but what will Romney do if he is in office NOT A DARN THING!!!!! He has flip flopped this entire election. Obama is not to blame for anything blame your sweet ex president BUSH!!!!!!!

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Jesse

5:08 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

Jessica...... when someone assumes something about another, they usually look foolish and are easy to beat in any debate. You assume that because I support Romney in this election that I must be total right wing, therefore assuming that I supported my "sweet ex president Bush". Well let me inform you of my position in political America. I think that we have to put the Candidate in office who is best Qualified for the job. Furthermore, one might ask, "what makes a candidate qualified?" The simple way to determine a candidate's eligibility is they must be 35, a legal U.S citizen born on native soil, and loyal to the United States. Obama only fits into one of those pre- requisites. Even further we as people look at their track records for how they voted in various situations as government officials. Obama has been under the microscope of the U.S. public for the last 4 years and has failed. The last 4 years have been the only thing we can reference to determine his "track record". He lied, lied, lied, and guess what that's way worst then changing your opinion. For the record I was just as hard on The Cheaney administration, excuse me The Bush administration. Never assume anything, always get the facts. Between the two candidates we have to choose from, Romney will play to the United States interests far more than Barrack Hussein Obama, who is only trying to live out his deceased father's legacy of anti colonial Marxism!

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Linda

9:18 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

Obama has done a great job. Things don't get fixed over night especially with where we were when he took office.

msamanti

11:16 pm on Friday, October 26, 2012

I want President Obama back in office. We need him more than ever.

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KineticR

11:18 pm on Friday, October 26, 2012

What keeps this election close is the media bias in favor of Obama. If the news, commentary & interviews by our major outlets, of O & Mitt were objective & fair, Romney would win easily with a plurality of over 62% of the electoral votes. O has proven he is a failure in all catagories: Obamacare will bankrupt us, he is unable/unqualified to lead a small group, let alone a nation, his ineptness in world affairs is dangerous, his V.P. Biden is feckless, scary & unstable (& u were worried about Palin??!), while Romney is a man of high moral charactor, was a successful governor & businessman, who saved the winter olympics & this race is close?? If the media interviewed him with the vigor & dedication to the truth they have when "interrogating" a Republican & delivered the true, bad news about him the same way, O would lose a large % of his voters. This is not only a shame it violates our constitutional right of a free press.

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Jesse

1:49 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

I agree with you 100%! I also can't get over the fact that Obama's birth certificate is strongly believed to be a fake by investigators, and no one is doing anything to stop him. Our country is going to be at it's tipping point real soon if we don't put someone in the whitehouse who has our country's interest on their agenda. Obama has proven that he is PRO; Iran, Socialism, Anti Colonial, and Muslim. More and more he's proving to me that he is anti- America. I couldn't name one liberal that wants to weaken our defenses while allowing our enemies to strengthen theirs, as much as Obama.

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Seth Methaw

3:55 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

I beg to differ! Did you notice Gallup poll never moved for Obama although he won 2 of the 3 debates? The so called biased Media is owned by the 1% moguls who are probably 99.9 % for their guy Romney cooking the so called polls. There is only a conservative Main Media and the Neo-con Super-conservative FOX. Sending high paying jobs overseas when the country needs them at home, sheltering the 1% super rich monies in Carib Islands to avoid paying taxes that would help our Country in its time of need is not what I call "high moral" or ethical. Being transparent in making 10 years worth of income tax returns when running for the most important position in the land would be moral. Tell your friends hoarding zillions of money instead of creating jobs at home just to defeat Obama is not moral, ethical or patriotic. It is the rich private sector that can create more jobs, but are hoarding their cash or sending jobs over seas like their fellow bro Romney. So much for your high morals, ethics and patriotism. The GOP think the Whitehouse is their birth right BUT it is the people's house!! Not long ago, People died, got beaten and water hosed in broad day light to earn the right to VOTE!! It is EVERY citizen's right to VOTE and let the best man WIN. If the ballots are counted fairly and voter suppression is averted, it will be O.B.A.M.A on Nov 6!!! Get the Aspirin ready to aver HEART attack.

steve brathwaite

1:42 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Mr. Obama is the most intelligent & cleanest person ever elected as president. On the contrary, we have Romney, who's a flim flam man. He constantly changes his views to influence the gullible & the forgetful, though the smart & knowledgable would only vote for him because they simply hate Obama. Stevie B

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steve brathwaite

2:30 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

It's amazing how people use Obama as a scapegoat for the deficit problems we're having. I think they should blame the other administrations for signing the unfair-trade-agreements, which lead to half a million jobs leaving the US for the past 15 years. You know middle & working class jobs are the stabilizers of this country. If entities like "Bain Corp" etc, (a Romney idea) keep shipping those precious jobs ou; soon there will not be a middle or working class. This is why the country is in trouble. Obama is trying to reverse this problem by saving the middle & working class. On the other hand the mega-corps are outsourcing right & left. Their objective is to make billions at the expense of national-security.

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very concerned

3:53 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Obama is the one that flim flams. He is anti American .
Obama went on an apology tour . Obama has no record of success during the past four years . Our economy will never recover and will sink even lower if he gets reelected. Obamas record is 10 million more people on food stamps . 1 out of every 6 people in poverty. If you measure success based on goverment aid then yes he is making progress . If you measure success based on how easy its gotten to get on disability then yes he is a success. If you want food stamps and no job vote obama in again cause your going to need those food stamps . Obama goes on vacation while this nation falls further in debt . If you want the goverment to decide where you can get your medication when your sick, paying higher taxes then obama is right for you.

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MarcAnthonyStorm

11:08 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Do your reseach he did not do an apology tour and they did a fact checker on this statement made by Romney. If you really want the answers to the questions you should always research it and not take your candidates word for it. BTW during the last debate Romney spent more time praising OBAMA for a good job and immitating his answers than comjng up with his own genuine answer.

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Jesse

1:36 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

Ok MarcAnthony, I've definitely done my research, and feel that i'm educated enough to comment on your man Obama. If he is re-elected, our lives as americans are going to drastically change. His whole agenda is to make at least 51% of the country dependent on the government, reduce our military(which leaves us very vulnerable), and increase our national deficit. Now tell me what that's going to do for our country! I'll tell ya what, I'll save you the time so you don't have to research it and just fill ya in. It's going to ruin our country! Wake up and research Obama! He's the one that we need to answer so many questions about! Everyone that voted for him did so on what he promised America, and not for what he has proven in years of experience. The fact is we know nothing about the man other than what we've experienced in the last 4 years. Believe me that's something that he shouldn't be proud to put on his resume of achievements unless his goal was to weaken the United States as a Super Power!

very concerned

4:06 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Wake Up ! Don't be so stupid . Obama is the worst president in the history of this country. He only got elected because he is black. How much has he helped the black population? None ! His own brother is living in a mud hut in Africa . Yes, he has a brother in poverty . This shows what kind of person he really is.
Four more years of this ? Don't be afraid to admitt you voted wrong last time . Do the right thing and fire his ass . Do you think he cares weather or not you have a job when his own brother lives in a mud hut? Hey, he knows his brother and he doesn't give him a dime . What makes you think he gives a rats ass about you?

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MarcAnthonyStorm

11:22 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Sorry but if you read deeper into the story his younger half brother, The film clip does not mention that Obama grew up in a well-to-do part of Nairobi, before he ventured toward its slums, ultimately working with a charity he co-founded to help young people trapped in poverty. He also said by his brother helping the world, that he in turn is helping him. So perhaps some people in the world are smart enough not to form a crutch and lean on others. They believe enough in themselves. I had to investigate your story and shed some light there.

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Jessica Simpson

3:41 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

Are you kidding me...why is he the worst because he is BLACK!!!! Well what about Bush....yall are seriously some pathetic people!!!!

Seth Methaw

4:51 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

You are blinded by racial bias. Read the latest survey by AP on your ilk!! it will be another 100 years before YOU wake up. To be honest Obama does not deserve you or your kind, but he tried thinking he would make a difference. Instead the bias has increased by about 7% since he took office 4 years ago. You cannot teach the unteachable.

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Jesse

1:07 pm on Monday, October 29, 2012

So the biased view was raised 7%? Apparently you can teach people when someone is ruining our country!!!!!!!!!!

nicole green

7:13 am on Saturday, October 27, 2012

People r ranting an raving about jobs,do u really think romney will create jobs? Or care about health care or social security? Its amazing how ppl wanted him too clean up a 8 year mess with four year,an a million balls of yarn too untwine. No the last four years have not been perfect,but since when have to GOP,been in favor of the working/ or middle class. People are still miffed,cuse a black man is sitiing in the white house,calling him everything under the sun. Wake up america,four year under a GOP regime,will put everyone but the rich in dire straights.

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Seth Methaw

2:37 pm on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Nicole, you are on the money!! Even when he was running in 2008, the Democrats for Hillary showed their true COLOR and hatred. Imagine those on the opposition. How else to explain that 10% of support disappered overnight after the 1st debate. He won the 2nd and 3rd, but we did not see any surge for him if it was based on debate performance. Those on the fence just were waiting for the smallest excuse to jump ship. You must read the most recent AP report on racial bias since he took office. God save our beautiful COUNTRY. I wish I could say same about its residents, but then 47% + are, at least ,very decent even by Romney's yard stick. I am betting that we are at least 51% + to put the decent man, Obama, on the top. I am advising our friends on the other side to hoard a pack of Aspirin tablets to avert heart attack on Nov 6; instead of hoarding their money so to deny him a second term at the W-house.

Tammy Mal

2:36 pm on Saturday, October 27, 2012

While the media is definitely biased towards Obama, I don't think it has much to do with this election being close. I don't think it's as close as the media is saying. I think Romney will win and win bigger than anyone expects. And thank God for that!

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Jessica Simpson

3:38 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

And you want Romney to win because he is WHITE..he is not for education or anything else yet you jackasses continute to support him..It kills me that most white people blame OBama for the deficit but when Bush was president yasll cried for him to get out. I am proud of Obama for being the intelligent black man that is often unportrayed in America. Romney will not do anyting to save this Country..he talks big shit and lies to the American people and thats who yall are praising!!!!!!

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Jessica Simpson

3:40 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

And I pray Romney will not win!!!!!

Nik

9:04 pm on Saturday, October 27, 2012

How can anyone vote for someone who said they do not care about 10%.. 30%...50% or even 1% of THE AMERICAN PEOPLE? If you vote for (MR) you are sick! (BO) all the way!

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lindaZ

10:29 pm on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Such hatred and venomous remarks from ppl who share the same air.....all comments should be made to uplift and not to tear down if MR is your man vote MR....if President O your man vote President O.....your deep seeded thoughts and fears should Not dictate the truth.....if GOD be for "him" then it shall be.....May God bless our country AND ALL its inhabitants....good night....

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Seth Methaw

11:43 pm on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Linda, these are not ppl, they are hyenas (=scavengers); worse than brutal predators which at least leave some cramps for the next visitor. Scavengers even break the bones after eating the flesh to get the marrow. So nothing is left for others who come behind. That's why they HATE ppl like Obama, a builder, and destroy jobs for the poor and middle class. They almost sent our economy down the abyss 4 years ago and now raising their loud jackal voices to come back only after 4 years when it took them 8 years to destroy the vibrant economy Clinton left them. He is not fast enough for them, so they have to kick him out earlier. How can he restore the badly broken economy when nearly 50% (i.e. the GOP) are not participating in Nation building? He has been working with one hand tied behind his back.

Really Disgusted

10:45 pm on Saturday, October 27, 2012

Barack and Michelle SUCK!!!!.......It wouldn't matter which color of the rainbow they were. I'm sure glad he's got her. It saved some other SOB.

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BlackJessie

2:37 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=A0tv3PHdUBY
you and your wife should run for office you would get my vote...It is very important you watch this video...

let's keep it real

12:39 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

A lot of these comments are pure racist. Hope all of you have voted sitting here running your mouths about things you have no facts to back up. People who hate the President will do so no matter what!! Hope none of you are working on degrees & need grants or getting social welfare assistance because once mitt comes in, all that will be non-existent. Take your voucher and go do something!

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Really Disgusted

1:21 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

Wow, you sound really smart! You should run for office! I feel so fortunate to have a job and in order to keep that job i am required to pass a substance abuse test so some people (white, black, yellow) can collect the subjects you listed above. Somebody has to do it.....right?
Does that make me racist?

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BlackJessie

2:35 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=A0tv3PHdUBY
its wonderful Americans like you that making watching this video so important thanks.

JAFO

2:07 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

The US cannot afford anther 4 years of Obama. This has nothing to do with race. It has nothing to do with former president Bush. Those are typical excuses. It only has to do with his spend us into bankruptcy and turn us into a welfare country. The stimulus money he has spent could have bought every US citizen a new house and a new car with money left over. But instead we doubled the number of people on government handouts. Doubled the national debt. Has not lowered the unemployment rate. Need I say more. Everyone seems to have forgotten that the dems controlled both houses when Obama became president. Obama could not get his own party to back him. I dont know about you but four years is long enough for a plan to start working. So four more years I think not. We cannot afford to take the chance. Let someone else try it cant be any worse.

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BlackJessie

2:33 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=A0tv3PHdUBY
you made some good points, i believe you would do a great job running the country...

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Jude I

12:51 am on Thursday, November 1, 2012

A Very Quick Look at President Obama's First Term.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1vUKT_l_0g&feature=share

Drop the belief that if you say something often enough, loud enough, and in an insulting manner, you will convince someone on the "other side" of the validity of your arguments. plain and simple - if you want to elect a ticket which will privatize Medicare, privatize Social Security, Eliminate FEMA , eliminating health care under Medicaid by 50 % and eliminate your access to health care if you have a preexisting condition, continue to subsidize big oil and take to yet another war in the Middle East -then have at it.But don't scream when your children can't find coverage for those sicknesses that WILL happen or they can't find assistance to attend a university of their choice. This clown hasn't taken a position he hasn't reversed, walked back or flat out denied since he got out of school. He invests his money over seas and hides his money in the same way. Come on people, wake up!!

Really Disgusted

10:07 am on Sunday, October 28, 2012

I watched your stupid, militant video. Those are the very people we speak of. I paid for those ebonic brothers video.......... I want my money back! They are trying to find the next handout. But its o.k. for them to call each other the N word???? Pretty hypocritical!

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Jessica Simpson

3:38 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

And who are you...maybe poorly uneducated!!!!

steve brathwaite

2:07 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

You want to give romney a chance? Maybe you haven't done your research. He took startup money from salvadorian death squad leaders, approx..10 million to make bain the outsourcing powerhouse it is today. The man has no mercy, empathy, or respect for hard working americans, whether white, black, or native american. The man is good at hurting people for profit. Is this what they teach students a harvard business school? Do you really want a ruthless business exec & buddy of the koch bros to run this country. If you do, then you're in a strange parallel universe amigo.

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Jesse

2:27 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

I can guarantee you one thing, Mitt may not be the most ideal choice to fix all of our problems, however he won't ruin the American economy and further support for radicals like Iran, he definitely would mend relationships with close allies that obama has tried destroying! If Obama gets four more years then we can all accept our fates as a newly impoverished country! I would hate to continue letting china own the rights to our country, when we can efficiently run our own country with out their help!

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Jude I

12:58 am on Thursday, November 1, 2012

@jesse .. Really? .. you couldn't be farther from the truth, or father form reality, Obama addressed Real issues, but the stupid republicans, needs something anything to take your attention away, to distract you, and you let them,

BlackJessie

5:17 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

@jessica u seem like a very education person and would solve all the countries problems with your thoughtful insight...blackjessie

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steve brathwaite

9:53 pm on Sunday, October 28, 2012

It's difficult for Obama to get past this brickwall called the Gop congress. They blocked every decent job proposal, even the ones they themselves had created years before, only because Obama wanted to incorporate them into his job-package. In other words, they just want him to fail as a one term black president. Their objective is, they want to embarass & belittle him for being eloquent, charismatic, articulate, & for being so much smarter than they are. The fact is, his intellect may rub people the wrong way, so some in the opposition will concoct a bunch of lies, as a way to bring him down. Read between the lines, if you weren't born here, you can never run for office, ever!! Arnold knows that pretty well. Don't you people ever think before you speak? Common sense people, common sense!!! Steve B

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Jude I

1:00 am on Thursday, November 1, 2012

well said, there common sense is lacking, due to propaganda and petty distractions

Allen Smith

9:28 am on Monday, October 29, 2012

Obama is polling strongly with the Down Sydrome, illegal alien, and welfare recipients.

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Jude I

1:02 am on Thursday, November 1, 2012

LOL!! cant help but laugh at this lack of insight.

steve brathwaite

2:01 am on Monday, November 5, 2012

You have to admire the GOP for their ability of creating mass propaganda. The theory is, if you bombard the population via the media with well orchestrated lies, the unaware, the uninformed, & the possibly uneducated most likely will believe it without question . There's no one in the opposition who can beat Obama in a clean match. The Gop knew this all too well when Obama first became a senator. So is the rightwing media, so did carl rove, jerome corsi, rush limbaugh, michele bachman,etc. They all knew the only way to counteract his charisma was to lie, & lie forceful & boldly like it was the gospel of St Luke. With this kind of heinous speech & negative propaganda, some of it will stick, some will be swayed by it. It is unfair influence on weak minds. This is an extreme display of human wickedness, projected toward a decent human-being. This is politics at it's worse, & one reason for this is partiality such as racial-hatred. Stevie B

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Garner

9:40 pm on Tuesday, November 6, 2012

I think Obama. should. win because. He. is for the poor. Ppl in this country. MRomey is not there will be a lot of homeless. Ppl alot of hungry ppl This. Is A Bad mistake to vote for M Riley Are do any one care. About. The
poor are elderly. Are the. Disabled

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